Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.651717 5.015950 5.409510 5.868933 6.393846 6.978930 7.686166
2025-08-03 4.076251 4.573933 5.148274 5.870037 6.767664 7.868474 9.356159
2025-08-10 3.664672 4.215106 4.877430 5.751495 6.904764 8.422525 10.663493
2025-08-17 3.346067 3.916509 4.623779 5.591518 6.927535 8.787917 11.748439
2025-08-24 3.124259 3.710411 4.455693 5.507677 7.019466 9.236749 13.030318
2025-08-31 2.993758 3.605726 4.403215 5.564412 7.303299 9.998401 14.999446
2025-09-07 2.868487 3.495622 4.330004 5.577834 7.515636 10.674575 17.014166
2025-09-14 2.691848 3.303959 4.128808 5.383144 7.376688 10.735758 17.848591
2025-09-21 2.558752 3.163145 3.988091 5.264018 7.340899 10.964616 19.102336
2025-09-28 2.456290 3.058240 3.890479 5.200033 7.384846 11.340020 20.815949
2025-10-05 2.381410 2.987292 3.836399 5.197270 7.529288 11.927924 23.293344
2025-10-12 2.341167 2.962491 3.847162 5.296283 7.861268 12.953562 27.493379
2025-10-19 2.301579 2.938854 3.861414 5.408003 8.243507 14.206900 33.423434
2025-10-26 2.237139 2.876163 3.813004 5.411839 8.425466 15.068317 38.875796
2025-11-02 2.152440 2.779635 3.706772 5.307868 8.382469 15.382944 42.507078
2025-11-09 2.065484 2.676170 3.584468 5.166979 8.249011 15.443958 45.135063
2025-11-16 1.999497 2.601394 3.503547 5.093015 8.244733 15.845234 50.029224
2025-11-23 1.964890 2.572185 3.493015 5.143077 8.506590 17.044813 61.522776
2025-11-30 1.924467 2.532319 3.463006 5.154914 8.687146 18.073995 74.578534
2025-12-07 1.849161 2.436473 3.337981 4.982999 8.438992 17.736709 76.061234
2025-12-14 1.791164 2.365543 3.251080 4.877590 8.332714 17.833473 82.159069
2025-12-21 1.746039 2.312980 3.192109 4.820903 8.332246 18.277705 93.445813
2025-12-28 1.713751 2.279236 3.162751 4.818454 8.458520 19.192772 114.796604